Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.021399 0.022988 0.024641 0.026493 0.028511 0.030646 0.033080
2024-10-20 0.018362 0.020590 0.023030 0.025909 0.029222 0.032927 0.037401
2024-10-27 0.016770 0.019427 0.022451 0.026164 0.030625 0.035838 0.042436
2024-11-03 0.015467 0.018389 0.021819 0.026170 0.031583 0.038147 0.046789
2024-11-10 0.014593 0.017742 0.021537 0.026491 0.032848 0.040811 0.051676
2024-11-17 0.013585 0.016830 0.020830 0.026180 0.033227 0.042312 0.055096
2024-11-24 0.012809 0.016140 0.020332 0.026063 0.033800 0.044037 0.058873
2024-12-01 0.012035 0.015395 0.019701 0.025705 0.033991 0.045220 0.061931
2024-12-08 0.011509 0.014936 0.019405 0.025757 0.034712 0.047134 0.066113
2024-12-15 0.010895 0.014320 0.018856 0.025413 0.034838 0.048189 0.069082
2024-12-22 0.010283 0.013673 0.018226 0.024911 0.034689 0.048812 0.071411
2024-12-29 0.009815 0.013198 0.017804 0.024671 0.034890 0.049938 0.074556
2025-01-05 0.009369 0.012736 0.017383 0.024414 0.035059 0.051034 0.077753
2025-01-12 0.008865 0.012170 0.016785 0.023865 0.034749 0.051369 0.079736
2025-01-19 0.008631 0.011979 0.016716 0.024092 0.035631 0.053599 0.084979
2025-01-26 0.008351 0.011705 0.016510 0.024096 0.036156 0.055279 0.089404
2025-02-02 0.008168 0.011566 0.016495 0.024388 0.037144 0.057757 0.095378
2025-02-09 0.007845 0.011203 0.016126 0.024105 0.037181 0.058654 0.098607
2025-02-16 0.007588 0.010929 0.015879 0.023999 0.037496 0.060026 0.102781
2025-02-23 0.007293 0.010585 0.015508 0.023674 0.037425 0.060723 0.105743
2025-03-02 0.007105 0.010397 0.015372 0.023721 0.037978 0.062531 0.110925
2025-03-09 0.006843 0.010085 0.015028 0.023409 0.037896 0.063200 0.113949
2025-03-16 0.006563 0.009735 0.014610 0.022953 0.037536 0.063342 0.115937